Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.018325 0.019661 0.021047 0.022593 0.024271 0.026039 0.028043
2026-02-01 0.015952 0.017860 0.019937 0.022371 0.025154 0.028243 0.031942
2026-02-08 0.014274 0.016484 0.018978 0.022011 0.025615 0.029778 0.034975
2026-02-15 0.013118 0.015532 0.018336 0.021850 0.026160 0.031304 0.037956
2026-02-22 0.012158 0.014701 0.017728 0.021619 0.026525 0.032550 0.040582
2026-03-01 0.011389 0.014030 0.017239 0.021460 0.026914 0.033786 0.043203
2026-03-08 0.010728 0.013435 0.016791 0.021296 0.027246 0.034922 0.045714
2026-03-15 0.010242 0.013026 0.016540 0.021348 0.027833 0.036388 0.048710
2026-03-22 0.009755 0.012583 0.016209 0.021261 0.028207 0.037561 0.051343
2026-03-29 0.009336 0.012202 0.015934 0.021220 0.028623 0.038788 0.054095
2026-04-05 0.008932 0.011817 0.015629 0.021112 0.028923 0.039850 0.056646
2026-04-12 0.008600 0.011511 0.015411 0.021104 0.029351 0.041097 0.059518
2026-04-19 0.008306 0.011256 0.015266 0.021215 0.029986 0.042722 0.063135
2026-04-26 0.007926 0.010865 0.014915 0.021011 0.030151 0.043665 0.065772
2026-05-03 0.007535 0.010439 0.014491 0.020676 0.030094 0.044258 0.067883
2026-05-10 0.007230 0.010121 0.014206 0.020526 0.030300 0.045251 0.070678
2026-05-17 0.006928 0.009794 0.013890 0.020312 0.030388 0.046052 0.073193
2026-05-24 0.006665 0.009513 0.013629 0.020164 0.030565 0.046994 0.075986
2026-05-31 0.006419 0.009245 0.013375 0.020010 0.030720 0.047897 0.078757
2026-06-07 0.006240 0.009072 0.013255 0.020059 0.031196 0.049345 0.082554
2026-06-14 0.006040 0.008857 0.013060 0.019978 0.031452 0.050430 0.085765
2026-06-21 0.005862 0.008668 0.012899 0.019940 0.031772 0.051633 0.089259
2026-06-28 0.005679 0.008465 0.012705 0.019839 0.031979 0.052644 0.092452